Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0502 To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Mon Apr 10 2023 21:55:25 ACUS11 KWNS 102155 SWOMCD SPC MCD 102155=20 OKZ000-TXZ000-110000- Mesoscale Discussion 0502 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0455 PM CDT Mon Apr 10 2023 Areas affected...Southwest Oklahoma and western North Texas Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132... Valid 102155Z - 110000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 132 continues. SUMMARY...The most organized storms are expected to be in southwest Oklahoma and nearby vicinity given marginally greater low-level moisture and modestly increasing shear. DISCUSSION...The mid-level speed max is now over parts of south-central Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma, per water vapor imagery. Recent KVNX VAD is sampling this feature well and shows around 55 kts at 5 km. As this feature moves southward this evening, deep-layer shear across western Oklahoma into western North Texas should increase. Given the pocket of slightly higher dewpoints (53 F in Hobart, 54 F in Frederick), storms moving into this region are expected to maintain and perhaps slightly increase in organization over the next 2-3 hours. Large hail up to 2 inches (there was an earlier report of 1.75 inches south of Elk City) will be the primary hazard along with damaging winds. ...Wendt.. 04/10/2023 ....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6tC0p0OB79nYn8HYilSa_CzERBIwDbMD88ZfZKOZQ4_fNM5DtO817i6tVrycmmWfqthG67geO= gfeO7ybE09tlLsz6SU$ for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 34189837 34019874 33929934 34309998 34699991 35339948 35809877 35879830 35339799 34609813 34189837=20 =3D =3D =3D To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .