Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0448
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 03 2023 18:20:56

ACUS11 KWNS 031820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031820=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-031945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0448
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0120 PM CDT Mon Apr 03 2023

Areas affected...southern GA into northern FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...

Valid 031820Z - 031945Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging gusts and a spin-up tornado will continue to be
possible across far southwest GA. The severe threat should lessen as
storms move into southeast GA/northeast FL.

DISCUSSION...A bowing area of convection shifting east/southeast
along a warm front across southwest GA near the FL state line will
continue moving along an instability gradient the next few hours.
This area of storms recently produced a 56 kt gust at BGE. A threat
for damaging gusts and a spin-up tornado will continue for another
1-2 hours. Thereafter, the severe threat is expected to lessen as
storms move into southeast GA/northeast FL. This downstream airmass
is characterized by weaker instability, driven by lower dewpoints in
the mid/upper 50s. While some potential for strong gusts may
persist, the less favorable boundary-layer and weakening vertical
shear should limit severe potential downstream from WW 113. At this
time, a downstream watch is not expected, but trends will continue
to be monitored.

...Leitman.. 04/03/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7Krot32dEllrf_kpbM1U5UhqtWkCsUubkB6BPhSw0TrltGuOh2YP5FwuDOdJfh2GNP4xR4-OC=
_vTjCMez-pyZWXCB5A$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON   31328390 31118223 30828200 30388230 30228309 30408406
            30548457 30958461 31268423 31328390=20


=3D =3D =3D
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