Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0447
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 03 2023 16:59:55

ACUS11 KWNS 031659
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031659=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-031800-

Mesoscale Discussion 0447
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1159 AM CDT Mon Apr 03 2023

Areas affected...far southwest GA into northern FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 113...

Valid 031659Z - 031800Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 113 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat for damaging gusts and a tornado may be locally
increasing across far southwest GA into northern portions of the FL
Panhandle over the next 1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A bowing area of convection traveling along a surface
warm front has shown an increase in organization over the past 30-60
minutes. This area of storms has shown increasing measured wind
gusts around 40 kt as well as a brief spin-up tornado. This area of
convection is expected to continue southeast along an axis of
greater instability where surface dewpoints have increased to the
upper 60s to near 70 F along/south of the warm front. Additionally,
low-level shear will remain favorable for a spin-up or two with the
apex of this bowing segment. A corridor of locally enhanced severe
potential appears possible over the next 1-2 hours.

...Leitman.. 04/03/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!64iQ9ebouQOCiPFIWFR9Xkst2tv00t2MZweCiNgpSoj2Pgv3QaYmgPluj1x_mrusN7qvhGLlr=
aEVbzU1RU8RotsrmQ4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON   31458518 31278434 31108405 30848377 30668378 30558391
            30578415 30608454 30638471 30778502 30948536 31088557
            31218558 31458518=20


=3D =3D =3D
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