Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 03 2023 01:14:20

ACUS01 KWNS 030114
SWODY1
SPC AC 030112

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0812 PM CDT Sun Apr 02 2023

Valid 030100Z - 031200Z

....THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EAST
TX TOWARD THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

....SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible tonight from
north-central Texas into the ArkLaTex region and portions of the
lower Mississippi Valley. Large hail, damaging gusts, and a few
tornadoes are possible.

....North/central TX into the ArkLaTex/lower MS Valley...
Isolated supercells are ongoing this evening across parts of north
into central TX. See MCD 440 for more information regarding the
short-term threat in this area. Farther east, an intense bowing
cluster has recently moved through Shreveport, LA. As a shortwave
trough moves quickly eastward tonight, the severe threat will spread
to the lower MS Valley, with all severe hazards possible near/south
of a northward-moving warm front, and hail/gusty winds possible with
stronger elevated cells north of the front.

Uncertainty remains regarding the eastward extent of the severe
threat into parts of southern MS/AL. Recent HRRR guidance suggests
that ongoing convection and/or renewed development near the warm
front will be possible as far east as southern AL before the end of
the period. As a result, the Marginal Risk has been extended
eastward in order to cover this potential early morning threat.

...Dean.. 04/03/2023

$$

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