Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0441
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Apr 03 2023 00:53:18

ACUS11 KWNS 030053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030052=20
LAZ000-TXZ000-ARZ000-030145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0441
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0752 PM CDT Sun Apr 02 2023

Areas affected...Eastern Texas and Western Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 111...

Valid 030052Z - 030145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 111 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for large hail and tornadoes continues over the
next few hours.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms with embedded supercell structures
located just west of Shreveport and has generally tracked with the
surface warm front located across central Louisiana. The southern
most portion of this line has a history of producing 2 inch hail.
VAD profiles from KSHV have shown an increase in deep layer shear as
mid-level winds increased over the last couple of hours with the
low-level jet. 0-3 km shear around 50 kts is being observed by the
radar. Cells along the warm front will continue to pose a risk of
severe hail over the next few hours. Any discrete cells that can
track into this environment will also pose a risk of severe hail and
tornadoes, as 0-1 km SRH is observed around 400 m2/s2. Low-level
shear is expected to further increase over the next few hours
increasing the risk for tornadoes.

...Thornton/Guyer.. 04/03/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!6zjrx1PYhxTIElyx7SBKQ6ZCuX2vM-b6i0U-wPkLtokOXqEmhBWqljwdjSFuLaWQW1Z07rvXE=
4Sb3dBfUlPZHffsdVs$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON   32849544 33099441 32979356 31949317 31279325 31089346
            30879388 30879388 30799421 30819494 30949538 31239551
            32849544=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.