Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0418
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Apr 01 2023 01:50:04

ACUS11 KWNS 010149
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010149=20
TNZ000-MSZ000-010345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0849 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Areas affected...west Tennessee and far northern Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 97...

Valid 010149Z - 010345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 97 continues.

SUMMARY...Greatest tornado threat over the next couple of hours will
be north of the Mississippi/Tennessee border.

DISCUSSION...A long-track supercell is north of the MS/TN border
just north of Highway 72 near Slayden and Mount Pleasant in MS. This
cell has a history of producing tornadoes with a recent report of a
confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado. This supercell
should maintain intensity over the next couple of hours, given
strong low-level shear and ample instability ahead of the track.
Surface objective analysis shows SRH around 300-400 m2/s2 increasing
with northward extent amid SBCAPE of around 1000 J/kg. This will
continue to be a dangerous storm with the potential to produce
strong tornadoes as it tracks northeast towards Highway 64 near
Bolivar and Hornsby.

...Thornton/Edwards.. 04/01/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!_eVVsFrp9ubxF2yc8SmLglQ_yYsoYfNY8wj-CzK7yfX6qcLXobUMKJFCkjQs3JrBCKYVEo3jp=
67N2jbfWEm2nBnhTjs$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...

LAT...LON   35028951 35278936 35388928 35508909 35698851 35688827
            35498814 35198827 35088839 35088840 35068864 35028886
            35018894 34988909 34958929 35028951=20


=3D =3D =3D
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