Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0405
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 31 2023 20:51:00

ACUS11 KWNS 312050
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312050=20
INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-312145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0350 PM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Areas affected...Northern Illinois...southern Wisconsin...and
northwest Indiana.

Concerning...Tornado Watch 96...

Valid 312050Z - 312145Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 96 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for hail and tornadoes will continue across WW93
as storms approach the Chicago metro.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells across north-central IL should
continue northeastward reaching the western Chicago Suburbs and
southern WI over the next 1-2 hours. Numerous reports of severe hail
have been received this afternoon and should continue as storms
track northeastward. Around 1000 J/kg of MUCAPE and 60+ kt of
effective shear strongly favor hail production with a supercell
mode. A risk for tornadoes may also evolve as storms approach the
more strongly sheared warm frontal zone over southern WI and
northeastern IL. Though this is more uncertain owing to more
marginal surface dewpoints in the mid to upper 50s F.

...Lyons.. 03/31/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7XFjahb83rDjkcHk-FkTdtzLogxaI4WqzPKEU-ZukDcVg3qcrAYP52BQGla3_8oB9B2hEjH4l=
yX3DlyUrfRN_n3XrUE$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...

LAT...LON   42559008 42968939 42948838 42918795 42758773 42708775
            42318778 41618740 41188723 40908722 40408753 40358812
            40498918 40948974 41468995 41759004 42559008=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.