Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0392
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 31 2023 15:47:59

ACUS11 KWNS 311547
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 311547=20
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-311645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0392
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1047 AM CDT Fri Mar 31 2023

Areas affected...portions of eastern Arkansas...southwestern
Tennessee...and northern Mississippi

Concerning...Outlook upgrade=20

Valid 311547Z - 311645Z

SUMMARY...Portions of the Moderate Risk area over eastern AR,
southwestern TN, and northern MS will be upgraded to a categorical
High Risk in the 1630 UTC Convective outlook.

DISCUSSION...An upgrade to a tornado-driven High Risk (30%
probability) is expected for the 1630 UTC outlook. Environmental
conditions are quickly becoming favorable to support the potential
for numerous strong to potentially violent and long-track tornadoes
across portions of eastern AR, southwestern TN, and northern MS.
Please see the forthcoming Day 1 outlook update for more
information.

...Lyons/Smith.. 03/31/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8_KuJT9emx6lVd__Ttk3esehR_DVuzdIlh-fEvpjuVlTg0_hURnFfQqtLDvbNR_Tpr5bkM8VS=
gk4ApRFm7Op850phwM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34589185 35279138 35478914 35208857 34628862 34148902
            33759181 33999209 34589185=20


=3D =3D =3D
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