Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Mon Mar 27 2023 17:21:03 ACUS02 KWNS 271720 SWODY2 SPC AC 271719 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1219 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2023 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND FOR THE GULF COAST TO THE GEORGIA/FLORIDA BORDER.... ....SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through Tuesday afternoon across portions of the central Gulf coast into southern Georgia and northern Florida. Strong gusts and hail will be the main hazards with these storms. Additional isolated strong to severe storms will be possible in south Texas Tuesday night with a threat for hail and strong wind gusts. ....Synopsis... A stationary front will be somewhere near the Florida/Georgia border Tuesday morning and extend westward along the Gulf Coast to south-central Texas. During the day, this front is expected to advance southeastward as a cold front as strong high pressure builds into the Plains and strengthens the offshore pressure gradient. ....Central Gulf Coast to southern Georgia/Florida... Thunderstorms will likely be ongoing at the beginning of the period across southern Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Storm mode will likely be messy, but some threat for large hail or damaging wind gusts will be possible with the stronger storms, particularly any storms which remain south of the surface boundary. These storms are expected to congeal into a line and move southward offshore during the afternoon as the surface front starts to advance south. Farther east across southern Georgia/Florida, a slightly greater severe weather threat may exist where some surface heating may occur in the morning and develop moderate MLCAPE amongst effective shear around 40-45 kts. Hail and damaging winds would be the primary threat. ....South Texas... Moderate elevated instability will exist across South Texas during much of the period Tuesday. Forcing will be nebulous, but a southward surging front in the morning, and an approaching subtropical mid-level jet streak in the evening may both be sufficient for some elevated thunderstorms. Large hail will be the primary threat, but a moist profile (2 in. PWAT) and only a weak surface inversion could support an isolated wet microburst. ...Bentley.. 03/27/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .