Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0367
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Mar 27 2023 03:06:55

ACUS11 KWNS 270306
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270306=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-270500-

Mesoscale Discussion 0367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1006 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...east central Alabama into central Georgia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 90...

Valid 270306Z - 270500Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 90
continues.

SUMMARY...The organized cluster of storms may begin to weaken within
the next hour or two, but could still be accompanied by potentially
damaging wind gusts into and across the Macon vicinity of central
Georgia by 1-2 AM EDT.

DISCUSSION...Convection has been generally maintaining vigor in at
least a compact zone east and south of the mesoscale convective
vortex.  This continues to progress eastward in excess of 40 kt, and
appears focused along a weak mid-level baroclinic zone, embedded
within a narrow plume of higher precipitable water, with warmer and
more strongly capping environment to the south.

Based on recent surface analysis and model output,
east-southeasterly low-level inflow may become characterized by more
modest CAPE as it progresses east of the Auburn/Opelika area by
around 04Z.  This should result in at least gradually weakening
updrafts, but strong lower/mid-level rear inflow could maintain a
risk for potentially damaging surface gusts across and east of the
Macon vicinity by 05-06Z.

...Kerr.. 03/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!4NYdqaYwuBYqbKxhWarMLsiaonzLXpaBnLzAMZgPdLWzUFrPSxESGMMDuP_h0TrEHsUdjn3cy=
ZVz80ON1CVLDZk3pt4$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...MOB...

LAT...LON   32768589 33168440 33208327 32498306 32038463 31878633
            32428590 32768589=20


=3D =3D =3D
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