Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0364
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Mar 27 2023 00:16:51

ACUS11 KWNS 270016
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270016=20
MSZ000-LAZ000-270215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0364
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0716 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...northeastern Louisiana into central Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 88...

Valid 270016Z - 270215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 88 continues.

SUMMARY...Strong storms posing a continuing risk for severe hail
could still consolidate, organize and eventually pose at least some
risk for strong surface gusts will spreading eastward near the
Interstate 20 corridor through 9-10 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...In the wake of the initial organizing convective
system, a zone of enhanced warm advection above the trailing surface
cold pool is maintaining vigorous convective development.  With
modestly steep mid/upper lapse rates being maintained, CAPE for the
moist parcels rooted within this regime remains sizable.  Shear
through the convective layer also remains strong, which is
contributing to a continuing risk for severe hail.  It is possible
that this activity may gradually consolidate while spreading
eastward near the Interstate 20 corridor, across and east of
Jackson, through 02-03Z.  If this occurs, the severe hail threat may
diminish, but activity could organize and eventually pose at least
some risk for strong surface gusts.

...Kerr.. 03/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8ZNRIilsnkVVSnhqbmesrgmZD-Wz1YHbEbZGeUHDczjzufSR0nnCpHrLRwPC04r8VPJvDMtNd=
rglyosAL19bsLgeKZY$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

LAT...LON   32759159 32919069 33008923 32348928 31839034 32129202
            32759159=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.