Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0362
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 26 2023 22:15:21

ACUS11 KWNS 262215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262214=20
MSZ000-262315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0362
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0514 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...parts of southern and central Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 88...

Valid 262214Z - 262315Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 88 continues.

SUMMARY...Clustering storms near the Jackson area may gradually
organize and pose increasing potential for strong wind gusts while
approaching the Meridian vicinity through 6-8 PM CDT.

DISCUSSION...Low-level forcing for convection is unclear and appears
weak, but activity continues to increase and consolidate into an
enlarging cluster, probably associated with ascent accompanying a
subtle mid-level perturbation within strong west-southwesterly
mid/upper flow.  This perturbation is crossing east-northeast of the
Mississippi River, with storms largely focused along the leading
(northern) edge of higher moisture content air slowly shifting
northward through the Gulf Coast states (ahead of low amplitude
mid-level troughing across the Great Basin into Great Plains).

In the presence of strong deep-layer shear, and aided by inflow of
air characterized by large CAPE, it is possible that stronger
convection may become better organized through 23-01Z, east of
Jackson toward the Meridian vicinity, accompanied by increasing
potential for damaging wind gusts.

...Kerr.. 03/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5Nm-moL9jdUgCkwc2iPOU6TGMjsBw5BR5v-i3bqVokGKUr2eStbBbCceTUtJJnzE3ehpASfmn=
W7vG90raLsFHpBcSWU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   32248982 32608955 32708840 31858866 31568967 31629063
            31899065 31999021 32248982=20


=3D =3D =3D
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