Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0360
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 26 2023 21:48:21

ACUS11 KWNS 262148
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262147=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-262315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0360
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0447 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...Parts of central and southern Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 262147Z - 262315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...The severe-storm threat is spreading eastward from eastern
AL into western GA this afternoon, and a downstream watch may be
needed for parts of Georgia. Large hail and damaging winds should be
the main concerns, though a couple tornadoes are also possible.

DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar data indicates a couple
semi-discrete supercell clusters tracking east-northeastward from
eastern AL into western GA this afternoon, where a few instances of
large hail have been reported. These storms are generally tracking
along the southern periphery of outflow-cooled air across
north-central GA from earlier convection. Along/south of the outflow
boundary over much of western and central GA, earlier diurnal
heating/destabilization of a moist airmass (middle/upper 60s surface
dewpoints) beneath modestly steep midlevel lapse rates are
contributing to a moderately unstable airmass. However, this
downstream destabilization is now being stunted by anvil debris
spreading eastward from the ongoing convection. At the same time,
ample deep-layer shear characterized by long hodographs and modest
low-level curvature are evident via regional VWP. While this
convection is well removed from any larger-scale forcing for ascent
farther west, there is some potential for semi-discrete supercells
to continue into the evening hours. Large hail and damaging winds
will be the main concerns, though a couple tornadoes will also be
possible.

...Weinman/Thompson.. 03/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-hpKKaM0k9rY2eGzxpRJkHofPFykPNrtWAcTLuI7zsXEhIDR4VUzhD1ZwRLgNX0_H1TIcjOBb=
iAYu22vkKIKHa6_qCQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON   30858431 30878484 31178501 32298509 32778504 33208458
            33418404 33518344 33478299 33228251 32728233 32408249
            31998287 31428332 31158366 30958397 30858431=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.