Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0355
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 26 2023 16:23:50

ACUS11 KWNS 261623
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261623=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-261830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0355
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...Southern Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 85...

Valid 261623Z - 261830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 85 continues.

SUMMARY...A gradual intensification trend has been noted in ongoing
thunderstorms across southwest Alabama. This trend will likely
continue as daytime heating supporting increasing buoyancy. A
downstream watch may be needed if these trends continue over the
next hour.

DISCUSSION...Regional radars across MS/AL have shown steady
intensification and organization of supercells across southwest to
central AL over the past hour. These trends are supported by cooling
cloud tops in IR imagery as well as increasing vertically integrated
ice. With no appreciable change in the overall kinematic environment
noted, this trend is likely attributable to increasing buoyancy
driven by diurnal heating as temperatures warm into the low to mid
80s across southern AL in the warm sector. With further diurnal
warming expected through partly cloudy skies, buoyancy should
improve further and support further intensification through the mid
afternoon hours. Consequently, the threat for hail, damaging winds,
and perhaps a tornado will likely persist. These cells will continue
to be monitored and a watch may be needed to address this concern
through the afternoon.

...Moore.. 03/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-5D-cDcuprNqzmY3SYYEtg6oRbu4F_yQdvKadteck4tguHmgPoqdBDb_Hjq5av_95pDiur5ax=
xLL9L91DKfdH4TCELU$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...

LAT...LON   31448894 31868844 32048806 32368720 32628640 32698578
            32688541 32588503 32418484 32178470 31918466 31688479
            31498502 31408528 31328564 31228644 31158711 31058816
            31098866 31188896 31318901 31448894=20


=3D =3D =3D
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