Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0349
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 26 2023 10:04:47

ACUS11 KWNS 261004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261004=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-261200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0349
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0504 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2023

Areas affected...central and eastern Georgia into western and
central South Carolina

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 261004Z - 261200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Severe risk is expected to expand across eastern Georgia
and eventually into South Carolina over the next few hours.  New WW
issuance is likely.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows the eastern-most of the
severe/supercell storms ongoing across the central Gulf Coast states
moving east-northeastward across central Georgia at around 35 kt.=20
Extrapolation of this convection would suggest these storms reaching
the eastern edge of WW 82 around 26/11Z, and then the Georgia/South
Carolina border at around 13Z.

At this time, such extrapolation appears to be a reasonable
projection, as the airmass downstream remains similarly
moist/unstable near and to the southeast of the surface baroclinic
zone.  As such, expect storms to remain intense -- and capable of
producing large hail -- as they shift eastward over the next few
hours.  This will likely require new WW issuance.

...Goss/Grams.. 03/26/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-wNrwnGpGij36dg-Ca6JLI2N0eQZ_Q62IFUvNRb54vdkk1yvyp3PMt9PenGvnMZ0nQUMJwkcC=
T7SPWo4lC5GhxUTY0Q$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   32608236 32628315 33088354 33838331 34508168 34458000
            33187968 32758124 32608236=20


=3D =3D =3D
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