Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0335
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Mar 25 2023 04:37:05

ACUS11 KWNS 250437
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250436=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-250630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0335
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1136 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2023

Areas affected...northern and central Alabama and adjacent portions
of

Concerning...Tornado Watch 77...

Valid 250436Z - 250630Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 77 continues.

SUMMARY...The risk for a few tornadoes continues, but probably will
gradually lessen with storms overspreading the region through 2-3 AM
CDT.

DISCUSSION...Stronger convection appears to be gradually
consolidating on the leading edge of the lower/mid tropospheric
cooling across northeastern into central Mississippi.  As this
progresses eastward, and the associated mid-level troughing
continues northeastward through the middle Mississippi Valley/Ozark
Plateau vicinity, large clockwise-curved low-level hodographs across
east central Mississippi into northern and central Alabama are
forecast to gradually trend more linear through 07-08Z.=20=20

Additionally, boundary-layer moisture remains slower to recover
across central through northern Alabama, where dew points remain in
the relatively modest upper 50s through lower 60s F.  It remains
unclear the extent to which low-level thermodynamic profiles will
continue to support tornadic supercells.  It is possible that the
tornado risk associated with convection spreading into northern
Alabama has peaked.  However, at least some risk for additional
tornadoes probably lingers, along with a continuing risk for
damaging wind gusts several more hours.

...Kerr.. 03/25/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9YfwB5SyreIx4FDOFLZ_5pVP0QaFBo5PlJQ9cxvTcv3JwgVVpRZnGhKrGl8RJRLoFrsfEP9su=
XIb5CXbVVBc7FYunms$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...JAN...

LAT...LON   34068761 34868674 34688532 33178643 32928911 34068761=20


=3D =3D =3D
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