Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 19 2023 19:03:33

ACUS01 KWNS 191903
SWODY1
SPC AC 191901

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0201 PM CDT Sun Mar 19 2023

Valid 192000Z - 201200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

No changes were made to the previous outlook with minimal
thunderstorm chances across the CONUS. Isolated lightning flashes
remain possible with activity near the FL Straits and perhaps into
the Sierra where lift is maximized with minimal MUCAPE.

...Jewell.. 03/19/2023

..PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2023/

....Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will progress across the eastern CONUS as a
second upper trough impinges on the West Coast today. Surface high
pressure and associated subsidence and cooler temperatures will
limit thunderstorm development across most of the CONUS through 12Z
Monday. On exception would be offshore areas just south of the FL
Keys, where a southward-sagging cold front continues to support few
ongoing thunderstorms which are expected to gradually drift away
from FL through the day. Another area that may see a couple of
lightning flashes would be the higher terrain of the Sierra, where
orographic ascent of deep low-level moisture and scant buoyancy may
support convective snow potential through the period.

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.