Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 19 2023 05:35:59

ACUS02 KWNS 190535
SWODY2
SPC AC 190534

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 AM CDT Sun Mar 19 2023

Valid 201200Z - 211200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected Monday.

....Synopsis...
A progressive lower-amplitude pattern will exist on Monday with
strong southern-stream westerlies extending from the Southwest
Deserts toward the southern Plains and much of the East. While
surface cyclogenesis will occur in the central High Plains, most
areas east of the Rockies will still be influenced by surface high
pressure and cool/dry continental trajectories.

A few thunderstorms may occur near coastal southeast Florida, as
low-level moisture persists near the coast under the influence of a
weak forcing regime. In the West, multiple low-amplitude
disturbances and steepening lapse rates/adequate moisture may
influence a fairly broad potential for a few thunderstorms across
portions of the Great Basin/central Rockies during the day. Lastly,
some potential for a few thunderstorms may exist late Monday
night/early Tuesday across portions of Oklahoma/Kansas as warm/moist
advection increase. However, model forecast thermodynamic profiles
look very marginal and any thunderstorm potential/coverage prior to
12z Tuesday is currently expected to remain low.

...Guyer.. 03/19/2023

$$

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