Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Mar 14 2023 12:14:23

ACUS01 KWNS 141214
SWODY1
SPC AC 141212

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0712 AM CDT Tue Mar 14 2023

Valid 141300Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today or tonight.

....Discussion...
The prominent Eastern States upper trough will move off the Atlantic
Coast by tonight. A post-frontal environment and strong surface
anticyclone will prevail east of the Rockies. Some lingering
thunderstorm potential should be relegated to near-frontal areas of
the far southern Florida Peninsula and Florida Keys. Weak convection
may also develop near the stalled front across extreme Deep South
Texas. Occasional lightning flashes may also be noted today across
north Texas related to weak elevated buoyancy in proximity of a
passing shortwave trough.

In the West, associated with a modestly amplifying shortwave trough
and jet streak, isolated thunderstorms may develop across areas such
as the California interior Valley, and perhaps on a very isolated
basis across parts of the Great Basin/Intermountain West this
evening and overnight. Severe thunderstorms are unlikely.

...Guyer/Broyles.. 03/14/2023

$$

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