Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Mar 13 2023 05:54:14

ACUS02 KWNS 130554
SWODY2
SPC AC 130552

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1252 AM CDT Mon Mar 13 2023

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Tuesday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Appreciable low-level moisture on Tuesday will remain confined
along/south of a front extending from south FL and the Keys across
the Gulf and into deep south TX. Convergence along this boundary is
expected to remain weak, which should mostly limit thunderstorm
coverage over land. Still, isolated convection may develop Tuesday
afternoon across parts of south FL and the Keys with diurnal
heating. A couple of thunderstorms may also occur over deep south TX
as modest lift associated with the glancing influence of a shortwave
trough overspreads this region. A separate area of elevated
thunderstorms potential could also develop in association with this
shortwave trough from northwest into central TX.

Another upper trough will impact much of the western CONUS on
Tuesday. Even though most guidance continues to indicate that
instability will remain very modest, gradually cooling mid-level
temperatures may support weak MUCAPE across parts of northern and
central CA through Tuesday evening. Isolated, elevated thunderstorms
appear possible as strong large-scale ascent attendant to the
shortwave trough overspreads this region.

...Gleason.. 03/13/2023

$$

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