Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0277
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 12 2023 05:51:36

ACUS11 KWNS 120551
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120551=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-120715-

Mesoscale Discussion 0277
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 PM CST Sat Mar 11 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Arkansas into central Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 120551Z - 120715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A severe watch will likely be needed soon across portions
of central Mississippi downstream of an organized MCS.

DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends show an organized MCS across
southeast AR with pronounced bowing evident over the past 20
minutes. This line is expected to continue moving east/southeast
into portions of central MS over the next several hours. With warmer
surface temperatures and higher dewpoints downstream, the potential
for surface-based convection, and hence damaging winds, may
increase. A watch will be needed soon to address this concern.

...Moore/Goss.. 03/12/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-XaucQ7wJH4LaJqjDWqhNMn8l07bx5EKry7_HbRq5iiONl58euG4RotXtsJ-XyRdGRZCKUek6=
FR-y7FZNqMkmCVPDzM$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON   33809246 34119178 34069074 33928892 33238908 32688961
            32679050 32939152 33179231 33449263 33809246=20


=3D =3D =3D
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