Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Mar 10 2023 01:10:52

ACUS01 KWNS 100110
SWODY1
SPC AC 100108

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0708 PM CST Thu Mar 09 2023

Valid 100100Z - 101200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
SOUTHERN TEXAS...AND FROM CENTRAL TEXAS ACROSS THE ARKLATEX...

....SUMMARY...
A couple of storms capable of producing marginally severe hail may
occur from central Texas to northern Louisiana/southern Arkansas.
Large hail will also be possible with isolated storms across
portions of southern Texas near the Rio Grande Valley.

....Discussion...
Elevated thunderstorms are ongoing at this time from portions of
central Texas eastward to parts of southern Arkansas/northern
Louisiana.  This convection is forecast to continue/shift eastward
with time, through the evening and into the overnight hours.  Though
CAPE remains limited, ample shear -- sufficient for a few stronger
updrafts -- remains suggestive that a storm or two could produce
marginally severe hail within this region.

Farther to the southwest near the Rio Grande Valley, guidance
continues to indicate potential for a storm or two to cross the
river and move into Texas, near and south of Del Rio later this
evening.  Should this occur, potential for large hail would likely
exist, until storms weaken as they move eastward overnight.

...Goss.. 03/10/2023

$$

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