Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sun Mar 05 2023 12:37:46

ACUS01 KWNS 051237
SWODY1
SPC AC 051236

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 AM CST Sun Mar 05 2023

Valid 051300Z - 061200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms are possible today over portions of northern
California and central Florida, and overnight in the Upper Midwest.

--- Synopsis/Discussion ---

....CA...
In mid/upper levels, a broad/complex cyclone is primarily centered
off the Pacific Northwest Coast, though a secondary vorticity max is
moving inland near the northwest corner of CA.  Associated cyclonic
flow will continue to cover most of the CONUS from the Rockies
westward through the period.  Though the main cyclone's core region
is progged to remain just offshore, a series of vorticity lobes and
low-amplitude shortwaves will move ashore over northern CA and OR,
then across the Great Basin to WY, in the associated basal jet
streak (90-100 kt at 500 mb, 140-160 kt at 250 mb).  Cold air aloft
overlying modest low/middle-level moisture will support thunder
potential over pats of coastal northwestern CA and the Sacramento
Valley vicinity.  Lower-elevation valley temperatures in the low/mid
50s F will support 100-400 J/kg MLCAPE, but modest and veered
low-level flow will limit hodographs and bulk shear.  Small hail or
gusty winds are possible in the most vi

.