Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0230
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 02 2023 21:30:24

ACUS11 KWNS 022130
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022129=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-022330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0230
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CST Thu Mar 02 2023

Areas affected...northwest Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 53...54...

Valid 022129Z - 022330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 53, 54
continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of damaging wind and hail appears likely with a
storm complex tracking east/northeast with the surface low.

DISCUSSION...Storms near the surface low are moving rapidly eastward
centered over Shackelford County TX, with portions of the line
transecting the stationary front extending east. Meanwhile,
additional cells continue to form to the south of the area as higher
theta-e air spreads north with an accelerating low-level jet.

The area along the east-west front will remain a favorable zone for
damaging storms, as shear, instability and lift all increase over
the next several hours. Storm mode may remain linear which would
favor wind, but a brief tornado may eventually occur with this
complex downstream and as it approaches tornado watch 55. In
addition, long hodographs and fast storm motions will favor
wind-driven hail.

...Jewell/Thompson.. 03/02/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8D3hIz6sOmc-A4F28a5ETaT0tHSAYdaQgStUBPgogbP3kV7k2T533yknz-sqq0bNwV0RdyvDW=
7Ets0v6AIej_gTJAj8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   32359882 31809924 31699968 31909992 32259984 32589966
            32969960 33279932 33929760 33969705 33609679 33409720
            33029796 32619865 32359882=20


=3D =3D =3D
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