Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0229
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 02 2023 20:39:26

ACUS11 KWNS 022039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022038=20
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-022315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 PM CST Thu Mar 02 2023

Areas affected...much of northern Texas and southeast Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 022038Z - 022315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms will continue to increase in coverage near a warm
front over north Texas, with additional storms moving in from the
west along the cold front. Tornadoes, some strong, damaging wind and
hail will all be possible.

DISCUSSION...The air mass continues to destabilize across north TX
where warm front exists. Given the uncapped air mass and multiple
boundaries, storm coverage will likely increase over the next
several hours. Locally backed flow along the warm front as well as
increasing low-level winds this evening with the approaching upper
trough may yield several tornadoes, damaging winds and hail.

...Jewell/Thompson.. 03/02/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!7ULWibG2gyiaU0IcChjdHW9Zczathwg-Ex2Mq4zNgl-Bdnu_-gkmxg9o_0AIahI2xjTl1Bp3l=
sQoXf1vcohxxLazeFc$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   30999784 31919799 32769787 33139744 33739674 34179656
            34829623 35289566 35349513 35149451 34509417 33299402
            32579414 31559548 31039594 30689708 30999784=20


=3D =3D =3D
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