Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 02 2023 08:43:51

ACUS48 KWNS 020843
SWOD48
SPC AC 020842

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 AM CST Thu Mar 02 2023

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

....DISCUSSION...
....D4/Sunday - D5/Monday...
Dry and stable conditions across most of the CONUS should limit the
severe-thunderstorm threat on Sunday. Some moisture return is
possible on Monday across parts of the southern Plains into the
lower MS Valley, though any notable destabilization looks like it
will be displaced southward of a mid/upper-level shortwave trough
and attendant surface low and cold front tracking near the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes vicinity.

....D6/Tuesday - D8/Thursday...
Most guidance suggests that relatively cold high pressure will build
into much of the central/eastern CONUS toward the middle of next
week, in the wake of the early-week cold front. Continued low-level
moistening will result in some destabilization potential near/south
of the front across parts of the southern Plains and Gulf Coast
vicinity, though decreasing predictability regarding the evolution
of the upper-level pattern renders severe potential very uncertain
at this time range.

...Dean.. 03/02/2023

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