Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 02 2023 07:57:20

ACUS03 KWNS 020757
SWODY3
SPC AC 020756

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0156 AM CST Thu Mar 02 2023

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat is expected to be low on Saturday.

....Synopsis...
An upper-level trough and attendant surface cyclone are expected
move offshore of the New England coast during the day on Saturday. A
weakening cold front will move through the northern Florida
Peninsula. Farther west, a deep-layer cyclone is forecast to remain
nearly stationary offshore of the Pacific Northwest, as an
associated mid/upper-level jet spreads eastward across CA toward the
Great Basin.

Dry and stable conditions will preclude thunderstorm potential
across most of the CONUS. A strong storm or two cannot be ruled out
near the front across the northern FL Peninsula, though large-scale
ascent is expected to be very limited near the weakening front,
generally limiting storm coverage and intensity. Convection near the
Pacific Northwest and northern California coasts may be capable of
producing sporadic lightning flashes, within an environment
characterized by steep midlevel lapse rates and cold temperatures
aloft.

...Dean.. 03/02/2023

$$

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