Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0219
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Mar 02 2023 02:44:49

ACUS11 KWNS 020244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020244=20
MSZ000-ARZ000-020345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0219
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0844 PM CST Wed Mar 01 2023

Areas affected...southeastern Arkansas...northwestern Mississippi

Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

Valid 020244Z - 020345Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

SUMMARY...Mature/intense supercell is moving across southeastern
Arkansas, accompanied by very large hail and the potential to
produce a tornado.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived, strongly rotating supercell is currently
moving east-southeastward across Lincoln County Arkansas at this
time.  The storm continues to exhibit a large/strongly rotating
mesocyclone, per KLZK WSR-88D, and appears to be producing very
large hail.=20=20

The storm is moving along a low-level conglomerate/convective
boundary lying west-to-east across southeastern Arkansas and
northern Mississippi.  Given the maximized baroclinic low-level
vorticity along the boundary, there is some potential that this
storm could produce a strong tornado over the next 30 to 60 minutes.

...Goss.. 03/02/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!9MQ7Ikxpi3s83xRHGxQbG-QLUtvBmQWtrJ29V8Wg7E5_gVqj8iTBOl-bZzHBKudOWr04KvVYL=
Rd4RscN0bffTGhNOgQ$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   33999184 34199174 34219062 33968970 33328999 33729147
            33999184=20


=3D =3D =3D
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