Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0209
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 27 2023 23:34:56

ACUS11 KWNS 272334
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272334=20
WVZ000-OHZ000-280130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0209
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0534 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2023

Areas affected...Southeast Ohio...West Virginia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 48...

Valid 272334Z - 280130Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 48 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat will shift east across ww048 into western
West Virginia over the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Well-defined short-wave trough is ejecting east across
OH early this evening. Associated surface front has surged to near
ZZV-UNI-HTS, and will soon advance east of the current watch.
Several robust supercells are noted ahead of the front from central
portions of ww048, extending into southwest portions of WV. This
activity appears to have progressed beyond the axis of greatest
buoyancy, and further eastward movement should result in gradual
weakening where surface dew points are in the upper 40s/lower 50s.
However, given the strength of the short-wave trough, a few strong
storms may advance beyond the eastern edge of ww048 before weakening
significantly. Some consideration for a local extension may
warranted across portions of central WV to account for this threat.

...Darrow.. 02/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8tEUgCEgbp6Xc69iZAbM475DizV6mSuhlqWaw-JRX_of0mlkhhiJ3l86vKFHZCXIu3PvVdNF7=
6_AXMckkr_u8HkVH9Q$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON   38208217 39008188 39808176 39928090 39348046 38268120
            38208217=20


=3D =3D =3D
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