Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0199
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Feb 27 2023 04:58:41

ACUS11 KWNS 270458
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270458=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-270700-

Mesoscale Discussion 0199
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1058 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2023

Areas affected...southeastern Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45...

Valid 270458Z - 270700Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe-weather risk -- mainly in the form of damaging
winds -- continues across the eastern half of WW 45.

DISCUSSION...A solid band of intense convection continues moving
east into southeastern Kansas, ahead of the surface low/front
progressing across central portions of the state.  Given the intense
deep-layer wind field just ahead of the upper system, and surface
dewpoints now into the upper 50s, potential for wind gusts to
penetrate the weakly stable boundary layer and produce damage at the
surface will continue.  A brief/weak tornado will also remain
possible.

Over the next 60 to 90 minutes, storms will approach eastern
portions of the watch.  With upper 50s dewpoints evident into
southwestern Missouri and western Arkansas, at least some severe
risk extending downstream into this area will likely warrant
downstream WW issuance.

...Goss.. 02/27/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5HqnHhMGb2FhAXafnwn4RPJTSgrjJYwGcK3z5PLkC6HH5lmn73nuXtmwuftW0pNtHVzcisP9v=
QFRCbmWfNjd-FZJu0E$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   36389550 37059698 38639689 38869591 38909410 38239295
            36029368 36389550=20


=3D =3D =3D
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