Subj : MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0179
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 22 2023 20:27:45

ACUS11 KWNS 222027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222027=20
INZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-222230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

Areas affected...southeast MO into central/southern IL into far
western IN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 41...

Valid 222027Z - 222230Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 41 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging gusts and perhaps a brief tornado remain possible
across tornado watch 41.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of convection has shown some better
organization and modest intensification over the past 30-45 minutes,
particularly as the line moves into east-central IL. Somewhat better
heating and dewpoints in the upper 50s to near 60 F is likely
responsible for convection become more surface-based compared to
earlier in storm-scale evolution. A couple of measured severe gusts
were noted just north of St. Louis, and damaging wind potential will
continue across the remain of tornado watch 41.=20

Some veering of low-level winds is noted in surface observations
across southern IL. However, some southeasterly low-level winds are
still noted closer to central IL nearer to the warm front and a weak
surface low/triple point. Given the magnitude of low-level shear, a
locally greater chance of a brief tornado may exist between the I-70
and I-64 corridors.=20

Severe potential should wane with eastward extent into portions of
western KY and IN and a downstream watch is not currently
anticipated.

...Leitman.. 02/22/2023

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!-W6pPh0OhuqdlXQb9i0UQN1ob9WVhfgfyJ32NfWZOnUH_qUOOobzuvYxzSEliGJfcgsGr6qRz=
FaDlxDeclXpBr4Xxgg$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   39869002 40478726 39078715 37648821 37008938 37118989
            37319035 38189037 39649018 39869002=20


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.