Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 22 2023 06:16:05

ACUS03 KWNS 220616
SWODY3
SPC AC 220615

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 AM CST Wed Feb 22 2023

Valid 241200Z - 251200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
A few low-topped thunderstorms may occur on Friday over parts of
coastal into central California.

....Synopsis/Discussion...
An upper high will retrograde into the Gulf of Mexico on Friday as
an upper wave exits the Northeast and another dives southeastward
into the northern Plains Friday night. Farther west, a deep upper
low will move south just off the CA Coast, with a cyclonically
curved jet max nosing into southern CA toward 12Z Saturday.

At the surface, a substantial surface ridge will be located over the
northern and central Plains, with a cold front pushing south across
the Gulf Coast states and coastal Southeast. The front will stall
overnight, with mid 60s F dewpoints common to the south.

Meanwhile, the deep-layer cyclone will remain off the CA Coast
through the period, but cold temperatures aloft will remain,
favoring scattered showers including a few lightning flashes. MUCAPE
is forecast to remain less than 100 J/kg, suggesting only weak
convection across central and western portions of the state. While
winds will veer with height, surface temperatures will remain
relatively cool/stable due to widespread precipitation, reducing
surface heating.

Otherwise, weak warm advection atop the Gulf-Coast boundary may
result in a few elevated showers, but the overall thunderstorm
threat appears negligible.

...Jewell.. 02/22/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.