Subj : HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 17 2023 23:00:32

FOUS30 KWBC 172300
QPFERD

Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
559 PM EST Fri Feb 17 2023

Day 1
Valid 01Z Sat Feb 18 2023 - 12Z Sat Feb 18 2023

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Roth


Day 2
Valid 12Z Sat Feb 18 2023 - 12Z Sun Feb 19 2023

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

Wegman


Day 3
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 19 2023 - 12Z Mon Feb 20 2023

The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less
than 5 percent.

There's a chance of rain that may become heavy at times in
southeastern AZ on Sunday, but the guidance is not yet in good
agreement whether most of that rain will fall there or on the
Mexico side of the border, so the area will continue to be
monitored for a potential future introduction of a Marginal Risk.

Wegman


Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6Ky6gTCwI4oPL2XH--qBQ__goDGup5CYwKk3eDUh9Ns8=
f3drSq5XU0jwKK8yhvcpFV76B2UNNQwVMUlfzDvZpy60ZGQ$=20
Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6Ky6gTCwI4oPL2XH--qBQ__goDGup5CYwKk3eDUh9Ns8=
f3drSq5XU0jwKK8yhvcpFV76B2UNNQwVMUlfzDvZgsh4f0M$=20
Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=
v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!6Ky6gTCwI4oPL2XH--qBQ__goDGup5CYwKk3eDUh9Ns8=
f3drSq5XU0jwKK8yhvcpFV76B2UNNQwVMUlfzDvZgKYQzaU$=20


$$



=3D =3D =3D
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