Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Feb 14 2023 08:57:40

ACUS48 KWNS 140857
SWOD48
SPC AC 140855

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 AM CST Tue Feb 14 2023

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

....DISCUSSION...
Medium-range models show a mid-level trough exiting the East Coast
into the western Atlantic on Friday (day 4) before the upper-air
pattern becomes unfavorable for organized severe thunderstorms.
Low-topped convection/storms and perhaps some threat for damaging
gusts occur over parts of the Carolinas and perhaps northward into
the Mid-Atlantic states on Friday.  Minimal buoyancy is expected
with this activity, and there is large uncertainty whether
appreciable convection can develop.  By this weekend, a split-flow
pattern will likely develop over the contiguous United States.

...Smith.. 02/14/2023

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