Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Feb 11 2023 06:15:24

ACUS02 KWNS 110615
SWODY2
SPC AC 110613

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1213 AM CST Sat Feb 11 2023

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPE LOOKOUT AND
CAPE HATTERAS...

....SUMMARY...
A locally severe thunderstorm may affect Cape Lookout and Cape
Hatteras Sunday morning.

....NC Outer Banks...
A potent mid-level low initially over GA will move east-northeast
and offshore the NC coast during the period.  A surface low is
forecast to be near Cape Fear early Sunday morning and it will
largely parallel the coast during the morning.  A
moistening/destabilizing airmass will protrude northward through the
eastern half of the cyclone and feature mid 60s dewpoints over the
continental shelf waters.  Some model guidance (recent NAM runs)
shows the warm sector near the low perhaps overspreading the
immediate beaches briefly (1-3 hours) during the morning hours.
Forecast soundings indicate that potential organized storm
structures will focus over the shelf waters and immediate Outer
Banks vicinity.  A short-duration, low supercell-tornado risk cannot
be ruled out before the potential convective activity clears the
coast and moves into the western Atlantic.

...Smith.. 02/11/2023

$$

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