Subj : MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 10 2023 22:27:23

AWUS01 KWNH 102227
FFGMPD
FLZ000-GAZ000-110300-

Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0062
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
526 PM EST Fri Feb 10 2023

Areas affected...Southern GA...Northeast FL

Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible

Valid 102225Z - 110300Z

Summary...Heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms are expected to
continue on the warm side of a quasi-stationary front across
southeast Georgia and northeast Florida.  An additional 1 to 3
inches of rain through 10 pm local time may lead to some instances
of minor flooding.

Discussion...Regional Doppler radars continue to indicate
widespread moderate to heavy rainfall from Apalachee Bay to
Waycross Georgia, with a steady influx of deep moisture advecting
northward into the outlook area as precipitable water values
approach 1.75 inches.  The overall intensity of the convection has
waned some over the past several hours, however, portions of the
region have received anywhere from 2 to 5 inches of rainfall so
far today, and these areas will be vulnerable to additional heavy
rain.=20

The latest CAM guidance suite is indicating the potential for 1 to
2 inches of additional rainfall in relatively narrow swaths, with
some isolated totals up to three inches possible through 10 pm.=20
This is a borderline flooding potential and this would mainly
result in nuisance level flooding and ponding of roadways and poor
drainage areas.  This would mainly be confined to those areas that
had heavy rain earlier this afternoon.

Hamrick

....Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov__;!!=
DZ3fjg!5GA5au34NHm_lkXyIrgMSQot5i7nJJqxExlAcecuQKkblEV8wO3z6o79JeOPWAWC2_O3=
gC8u56sfzbYvRAIKPUL-LQo$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE...

ATTN...RFC...SERFC...NWC...

LAT...LON   31728194 31688133 31308133 30928184 30448238=20
            29968263 29638312 29588342 29828369 29968397=20
            29948420 29758446 29608478 29548508 29698534=20
            30328499 30788442 31178374 31458303 31588267=20
            31668235=20

=3D =3D =3D
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