Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 09 2023 06:59:15

ACUS02 KWNS 090659
SWODY2
SPC AC 090657

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1257 AM CST Thu Feb 09 2023

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...

....SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are possible across the Southeast on
Friday including northern Florida, southeast Alabama and
southern/eastern Georgia into southern South Carolina.

....Southeast States...
A positive-tilt upper-level trough will move east-southeastward from
the southern Plains toward the Lower Mississippi Valley through
Friday night. A preceding cold front will be located from the
coastal Mid-Atlantic States southwestward across the Carolinas into
Georgia/northern Florida Friday morning. A moist air mass with 60s F
surface dewpoints is expected to be in place ahead of the front,
especially across Florida into parts of Georgia/southern South
Carolina.

While the boundary layer will be relatively moist, overall
destabilization is currently expected to be muted by some lingering
cloud cover as well as weak mid-level lapse rates. Even so, weak
destabilization in the presence of 40+ kt effective shear may be
conducive for a few severe thunderstorms through Friday afternoon,
which could include locally damaging winds and/or a tornado.

...Guyer.. 02/09/2023

$$

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