Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 08 2023 08:31:09

ACUS03 KWNS 080831
SWODY3
SPC AC 080829

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0229 AM CST Wed Feb 08 2023

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST STATES...

....SUMMARY...
A few severe thunderstorms are possible across the Southeast on
Friday including northern Florida and southern/eastern Georgia into
southern South Carolina.

....Southeast States...
A positive-tilt upper-level trough will move east-southeastward over
the Deep South on Friday. A preceding cold front will likely be
located near/just east of the southern Appalachians and across
Georgia/northern Florida Friday morning. A moist air mass is
expected to be in place ahead of it especially across Florida into
parts of Georgia/southern South Carolina.

While the boundary layer will be relatively moist (60s F surface
dewpoints), overall destabilization is currently expected to be
muted by some lingering cloud cover as well as weak mid-level lapse
rates. Even so, weak destabilization in the presence of 40+ kt
effective shear may be conducive for a few severe thunderstorms
through Friday afternoon. Current thinking is that wind damage would
be the most probable severe hazard.

...Guyer.. 02/08/2023

$$

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