Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 08 2023 00:45:11

ACUS01 KWNS 080045
SWODY1
SPC AC 080043

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0643 PM CST Tue Feb 07 2023

Valid 080100Z - 081200Z

....THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TX...

....SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible this evening
and overnight across portions of central and southeast Texas.

....Central into Southeast TX...
Recent surface analysis places a surface low about 30 miles
northwest of TYR in northeast TX. A cold front extends southwestward
from this low across central TX and through the TX Hill Country. A
secondary low is centered along this front about 25 miles northeast
of AUS.

Mostly anafrontal showers and thunderstorms are currently ongoing in
the vicinity of the front, supported by persistent warm-air
advection over the warm sector. Shower activity also persists within
this warm sector, and potential still exists for some deepening of
the showers later this evening as mid-levels continue to moisten and
temperatures cool aloft. Vertical shear should be sufficient for a
few organized storms capable of damaging winds and perhaps a
tornado.

...Mosier.. 02/08/2023

$$

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