Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Fri Feb 03 2023 06:02:16

ACUS02 KWNS 030602
SWODY2
SPC AC 030600

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 AM CST Fri Feb 03 2023

Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Saturday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
Thunderstorm potential appears quite limited over a vast majority of
the CONUS Saturday owing to a lack of sufficient low-level moisture,
with parts of south FL and coastal northern CA the possible
exceptions. Across south FL, some low-level moisture should still be
in place to the north of a front. Weak easterly low-level flow will
become established through the day as a strong surface high slowly
shifts from the East Coast into the western Atlantic. Isolated
thunderstorms appear possible along the Atlantic Coast, possibly
associated with a sea breeze, mainly Saturday afternoon. Instability
will likely remain too weak to support a severe threat with any
convection that can develop.

An upper trough will move from the eastern Pacific over parts of the
West Coast through Saturday night. Cold mid-level temperatures
associated with this upper trough and steepened mid-level lapse
rates may aid in the development of very weak instability Saturday
night across parts of coastal northern CA. A few lightning flashes
may occur with low-topped convection moving onshore.

...Gleason.. 02/03/2023

$$

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