Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 02 2023 17:24:40

ACUS02 KWNS 021724
SWODY2
SPC AC 021723

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1123 AM CST Thu Feb 02 2023

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
The severe-thunderstorm threat appears low on Friday.

....Florida Peninsula...
A deep upper-level trough will move eastward across the eastern
CONUS on Friday, as a cold front sweeps through the Florida
Peninsula. Along/south of the front, relatively rich low-level
moisture will support modest buoyancy (MLCAPE around 500 J/kg), with
rather strong midlevel flow supporting sufficient deep-layer shear
for some storm organization. However, very weak midlevel lapse rates
will tend to limit updraft intensity, while weakening and veering
low-level flow will limit frontal convergence and storm coverage.
Given these negative factors, thunderstorm coverage along/ahead of
the front is expected to be isolated at best, with limited severe
potential, though locally gusty winds may accompany the strongest
convection across the FL Peninsula during the morning/afternoon.

...Dean.. 02/02/2023

$$

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