Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Thu Feb 02 2023 06:06:09

ACUS02 KWNS 020606
SWODY2
SPC AC 020604

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1204 AM CST Thu Feb 02 2023

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Friday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
The southern extent of a large-scale upper trough will advance
quickly eastward over the Southeast on Friday. At the surface, a
cold front is expected to sweep southward across the FL Peninsula
through the day, and continue south/east off the coast by the end of
the period. Isolated thunderstorms may occur along/near the front,
as sufficient low-level moisture should be in place to support weak
instability. However, mid-level lapse rates will likely remain poor,
which should inhibit robust updrafts. In addition, low-level winds
are forecast to quickly veer to westerly though the day as the upper
trough progresses eastward. This should limit convergence along the
cold front, which in turn will likely keep overall thunderstorm
coverage isolated at best. While a strong wind gust could occur with
any convection that develops and can be sustained, the overall
severe threat appears too limited to include even low wind
probabilities.

...Gleason.. 02/02/2023

$$

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