Subj : DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Wed Feb 01 2023 08:11:37

ACUS03 KWNS 010811
SWODY3
SPC AC 010810

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0210 AM CST Wed Feb 01 2023

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Friday.

....Synopsis and Discussion...
The southern extent of a large-scale upper trough will advance
quickly eastward over the Southeast on Friday. At the surface, a
cold front is expected to sweep southward across the FL Peninsula
through the day, and continue south/east off the coast by the end of
the period. Isolated thunderstorms may occur along/near the front,
as sufficient low-level moisture should be in place to support weak
instability by Friday afternoon. However, mid-level lapse rates will
likely remain poor, and potentially inhibit robust updrafts. In
addition, low-level winds are forecast to quickly veer to
west-southwesterly though the day as the upper trough progresses
eastward. This should limit convergence along the cold front, which
in turn will likely keep overall thunderstorm coverage isolated at
best. While a strong wind gust could occur with any thunderstorm
that develops, the overall severe threat appears too limited to
include any probabilities at this time.

...Gleason.. 02/01/2023

$$

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