Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 31 2023 16:16:00

ACUS01 KWNS 311615
SWODY1
SPC AC 311614

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CST Tue Jan 31 2023

Valid 311630Z - 011200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today or tonight across the
contiguous United States.

....Discussion...
Stable conditions are expected to prevail across much of the CONUS
as high surface pressure dominates the sensible weather. The only
exceptions are across portions of the southern Plains, where
persistent southwesterly flow is contributing to a broad area of
precipitation, and southwest AZ, where an upper low is promoting
some rain showers.

The southwesterly flow aloft across the southern Plains also
supports a warm noise above the shallow and cold air mass in place,
resulting in modest elevated buoyancy and occasional instances of
thunder sleet/freezing rain. Profiles from the latest guidance
support a persistence of this thunder potential northeastward into
more of eastern OK and western/central AR.

...Mosier.. 01/31/2023

$$

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