Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jan 28 2023 16:28:26

ACUS01 KWNS 281628
SWODY1
SPC AC 281627

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1027 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023

Valid 281630Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

....East/southeast TX to AR tonight...
Within broadly cyclonic flow aloft over the CONUS, one embedded
shortwave trough over northern AZ will move eastward to OK by
tonight, as other embedded waves over northwest Mexico approach TX.
Air mass modification/low-level moistening will continue from the
western Gulf of Mexico to the Ark-La-Tex, in advance of an arctic
cold front that will reach OK/northwest TX early Sunday.  The
gradual moistening in a low-level warm advection regime, combined
with the approaching/low-amplitude shortwave troughs, will support a
gradual increase in the threat for elevated thunderstorms tonight
from east TX into AR.  An isolated strong storm may occur near the
end of the forecast period (29/12z) along the upper TX coast, but
the primary severe threat will remain in the day 2 period.

...Thompson.. 01/28/2023

$$

= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux
 * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)

.