Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jan 28 2023 13:01:26

ACUS01 KWNS 281301
SWODY1
SPC AC 281259

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0659 AM CST Sat Jan 28 2023

Valid 281300Z - 291200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.

....East/Southeast Texas to ArkLaTex/Lower Mississippi Valley...
Broad cyclonic upper flow over the majority of the CONUS will be
flanked by upper ridging and height rises over the Gulf of
Mexico/Southeast. To the southeast of a front approaching North
Texas and the ArkLaTex region tonight, increasing warm/moist
advection beneath a plume of modestly steepening mid-level lapse
rates will support an increasing potential for isolated
thunderstorms tonight, particularly across east/southeast Texas
toward the ArkLaTex vicinity.

A few stronger elevated thunderstorms could materialize late tonight
mainly near the upper Texas coast and far east/southeast Texas into
western Louisiana. This could include some potential for small hail,
but the prospects for organized/multiple severe storms capable of >1
inch hail still appears to be low.

...Guyer.. 01/28/2023

$$

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