Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok To : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu From : COD Weather Processor Date : Fri Jan 27 2023 16:52:19 ACUS02 KWNS 271652 SWODY2 SPC AC 271650 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1050 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023 Valid 281200Z - 291200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely on Saturday. ....Synopsis... Broad, upper-level troughing will persist across the CONUS on Saturday. A mid/upper shortwave impulse embedded in larger-scale flow over the Rockies early in the day will eject eastward across the Plains and into the Midwest through early Sunday. As this occurs, the southwesterly subtropical jet over Mexico will merge with strong westerly flow associated with the ejecting shortwave trough over the southern Plains and mid/lower MS Valley Saturday evening/overnight. At the surface, low pressure will develop east and northeast along a frontal zone from the southern High Plains into the upper Great Lakes vicinity. This will allow for southerly low-level flow and northward transport of Gulf moisture across the south-central U.S. This will aid in development of weak instability across east TX toward AR into western MS/TN overnight. Warm midlevel temperatures will result in capping for much of the period. However, midlevel moistening along with increasing large-scale ascent will support isolated thunderstorm development after 03z, though severe thunderstorms are not expected. ...Leitman.. 01/27/2023 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.14-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105) .