Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Tue Jan 24 2023 01:00:17

ACUS01 KWNS 240100
SWODY1
SPC AC 240058

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Valid 240100Z - 241200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms will be possible this evening into tonight from
south-central New Mexico eastward into central and northern Texas,
but no severe weather is expected.

....DISCUSSION...
The latest water vapor imagery shows an upper-level low over far
southern Arizona, with mid-level moisture evident from near the low
eastward into the southern High Plains. Ahead of the low, mid-level
flow is from the southwest across the southern Plains. As the low
moves eastward, moisture advection and lift will increase across the
southern Plains tonight. This will make warm-advection-related
thunderstorms possible from parts of central and west Texas westward
into south-central New Mexico.  Although the low-level jet will
provide the necessary lift for thunderstorm development, instability
will remain too weak for a severe threat.

...Broyles.. 01/24/2023

$$

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