Subj : DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Mon Jan 23 2023 09:39:28

ACUS48 KWNS 230939
SWOD48
SPC AC 230937

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2023

Valid 261200Z - 311200Z

....DISCUSSION...
A deepening surface cyclone, initially centered near the southern
New England coast, appears likely to migrate across and northeast of
the Canadian Maritimes late this week into next weekend, with cold
high pressure shifting eastward across much of the Gulf of Mexico
and Gulf Coast.  Thereafter, it continues to appear that mid-level
flow will transition to more of confluent regime across much of the
U.S., between a broad deep low becoming centered over the Hudson Bay
vicinity and a less prominent subtropical high across the Caribbean.
The evolution of the split flow across the eastern Pacific remains
less clear, but significant surface cyclogenesis supportive of an
appreciable risk for organized severe convection appears unlikely
through this period.

...Kerr.. 01/23/2023

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