Subj : DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
To   : wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu
From : COD Weather Processor
Date : Sat Jan 14 2023 04:58:37

ACUS01 KWNS 140458
SWODY1
SPC AC 140456

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1056 PM CST Fri Jan 13 2023

Valid 141200Z - 151200Z

....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

....SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today.

....Discussion...
Highly amplified but progressive flow pattern aloft will continue
across the U.S. today.  As a lead short-wave trough crosses the
Intermountain West, a second, eastern Pacific trough will move
onshore.  Cold air aloft accompanying this feature will support
sufficient destabilization to allow a few thunderstorms to develop
within the broader area of precipitation accompanying this feature.
The greatest lightning potential should occur across northern and
central California, and across the Sierra into western Nevada.

Farther east, ridging initially extending across the Plains states
will move steadily eastward, as a downstream eastern U.S. trough/low
shifts gradually off the middle and southern Atlantic Coastal area
into the western Atlantic.  Any deep moist convection associated
with this trough will remain well offshore.

...Goss/Bentley.. 01/14/2023

$$

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